- Missing Link
- The Club
One of Chelsea’s biggest games of the season takes place on Sunday when Man Utd visit Stamford Bridge and it could be a game where form goes out of the window with Chelsea looking to maintain a recent domination over Sir Alex Ferguson’s side on home turf. For those that don’t have a ticket for this exciting match, it will be live on Sky Sports 1.
Chelsea are the favourites to win this match and it is easy to see why. In the last ten domestic matches between these teams at Stamford Bridge Chelsea have six wins and there were also four draws. That means there were no wins for Man Utd during that run and that is a great achievement considering the battles at the top of the table in recent years. Chelsea are a fair price to win this match at odds of 8/5 whilst the only other option that really makes any appeal is the draw, which has been a bit of a problem for Chelsea recently, that outcome is 21/20 at the time of writing.
Man Utd may have gained more points recently but they have also lost more games than Chelsea. No team has lost fewer matches than Chelsea in the last ten Premiership matches, Chelsea have only lost once in that period of time whilst Man Utd have suffered two league losses in their last ten matches. Unfortunately Chelsea have drawn more than they have won in that period, four games have gone the way of Chelsea whilst Chelsea have drawn half of their last ten matches. It is worth noting that Chelsea haven’t won by more than one goal in over two months and five out of Chelsea’s last six wins over Man Utd at Stamford Bridge have been by a one goal margin. If you fancy Chelsea to win, why not boost the odds by backing them to win by exactly one goal, that outcome is 10/3 with some bookies currently.
Another thing that stands out from Chelsea’s recent matches and recent games between Chelsea and Man Utd at Stamford Bridge are the lack of goals. The last ten games between these teams when Chelsea were at home had under 2.5 goals as a winning bet seven times and under 3.5 goals as a winning bet in all of those matches, those outcomes can be backed at even money and 4/11 respectively. It is worth noting that six of Chelsea’s last eight matches have had under 2.5 goals in them also giving a further boost to that bet.
So if Chelsea win by a one goal margin in a game with two goals or less in then the only possible outcome can be a 1-0 home win. It is therefore a little surprising to see that bet available at 8/1. If the game is a draw then the only two realistic options are 0-0 and 1-1, those outcomes can be backed at 11/1 and 6/1 respectively whilst if you fancy a bigger margined win for Chelsea then 2-0 is the obvious choice at 12/1 with most bookies.