- Missing Link
- The Club
After the midweek result at Stamford Bridge it looks as though it is just the cups to play for this season now for Chelsea but an FA Cup final and a Champions League final represents a pretty successful season, especially if both finals are successful. Chelsea are the favourites to win Saturday’s FA Cup final against Liverpool and there is every reason to think that Chelsea can justify those odds.
If looking to bet in absolutes in this game you can bet on either side to lift the trophy which means you don’t have to worry about the draw, extra time and the dreaded penalty shootout. Chelsea are available at 7/10 with a few bookmakers to lift their fourth FA Cup in six years whilst Liverpool are 13/10 to win their first FA Cup since 2006. Chelsea are a bit more value to win this in the 90 minutes, the odds on that outcome are 6/4 which is a decent price whilst the draw is 23/10 and a Liverpool win is slightly shorter than that at 21/10.
Chelsea won convincingly against Spurs in the semi final so returning to Wembley will bring back happy memories and another 5-1 win in this game is available at a huge 200/1! Chelsea have been to Wembley twice this season, they could only draw against Cardiff in the Carling Cup final and they needed penalties to win that match whilst they also narrowly beat Everton in the FA Cup semi final 2-1. What points to a Chelsea win most of all is Liverpool’s league form since they won the Carling Cup, they have lost seven of their eleven league games since that day and that makes the 6/4 on Chelsea wrapping this up in 90 minutes look a good bet.
A look at previous FA Cup finals shows that they are often tight, low scoring affairs. Seven of the last ten finals had under 2.5 goals and that looks a good bet in this match at 8/11. Amazingly fourteen of the last eighteen finals have been won with a clean sheet so a Chelsea win to nil could offer very good value against Liverpool and that outcome looks well worth covering at 3/1. If you did want to cover a Liverpool win at big odds then perhaps a small covering bet on Liverpool to win to nil here at 4/1 might not go amiss.
One of the key decisions for Roberto Di Matteo will be whether to play Fernando Torres or Didier Drogba, the fact that Torres played during the week suggests Drogba might be given the nod here and he is the favourite in the goalscorer odds, Drogba is 7/1 to score first with most bookies and a pretty big 11/4 to score first. Torres is next best at 15/2 to open the scoring and also 11/4 to score at anytime and Luis Suarez is also around the same sort of price for Liverpool. At bigger odds Frank Lampard certainly makes some sort of appeal at 9/1 to score anytime and 7/2 to chip in with a goal at anytime in what could possibly be his last trip to Wembley for Chelsea.
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